Expected result

The expected results of this project include scientific research and capacity building. The specific results are as follows:

(1) Develop and improve the theoretical methods and technical systems for regional assimilation and climate downscaling, and provide a set of publicly available climatic factors with a spatial resolution of 9 km in the pan-third pole region and a spatial resolution of 3 km in Southeast Asia ( Data set of maximum temperature, minimum temperature, rainfall, etc.;

(2) Providing a climate change scenario with a spatial resolution of 25 km in the pan-third pole region;

(3) Constructing a simulation method and model software for water resources evaluation under the natural-human coupling system;

(4) Reveal the spatio-temporal pattern, evolution trend and natural human-driven mechanism of water resources in Southeast Asian countries, and predict the future situation of water resources change and its uncertainty;

(5) Reveal the spatiotemporal pattern of water resources utilization and its eco-environmental effects in Southeast Asian countries;

(6) Publish 25-30 SCI papers, and strive to publish influential academic papers in top international journals, leading the academic direction of water resources research;

(7) Concentrate and train a group of interdisciplinary young scientific and technological talents with international vision, and cultivate 4-8 postdoctoral fellows and 8-10 postgraduate students;

(8) Submit a report on the Southeast Asia Water Resources and Ecological Impact Assessment.

Major contributions

      Generate a database of high-temporal resolution meteorological elements in the third pole and Southeast Asian countries, clarify the law of climate change within the pan-tripolar and Southeast Asian countries, and its relationship with large-scale circulation and global climate change, thus becoming the pan-third pole and Southeast Asia The research on the spatial and temporal evolution and driving mechanism of national water resources provides support.

      The production of high-temporal resolution water resources and their utilization basic databases and related model software in Southeast Asia countries and the Mekong River Basin can provide basic support for water resources research in Southeast Asia; the research results can help understand the impact of water resources under the dual effects of climate change and human activities. The evolution of the law, distinguishing the natural and human-driven contribution of water resources change; the ecological effects of water use and the prediction of future water resources evolution can provide scientific support for water resources management in Southeast Asia, and ensure the green development of the “Belt and Road”.